Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Cell-only folks, & other minutiae

A Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll shows Obama leading 2-to-1 among "cell-only" voters, of which I would be one. No surprise there. It's been my hunch for a while that traditional polls are grossly under-estimating the under-30 support for Obama because they can't reach those of us who use only cells. And practically everybody I know my age and younger is "cell-only."

Also, not related, these Electoral History Charts on FiveThirtyEight are very cool.

Lastly, adding to previous discussion of the Bradley and "Reverse Bradley" effects is the Obama Effect and why it will push Georgia into the blue column.

1 comment:

cory said...

The "cell-only" thing will matter most in states with high populations of young people--- like Colorado and Virginia and North Carolina. All states Barack's got a good chance in. We're seeing, for the first time, "young people" emerge as a truly powerful voting block.